Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.008247 0.009706 0.011459 0.013754 0.016734 0.020547 0.025928
2025-07-06 0.006531 0.008313 0.010713 0.014309 0.019799 0.028336 0.043746
2025-07-13 0.005729 0.007697 0.010573 0.015341 0.023654 0.039037 0.074667
2025-07-20 0.005080 0.007098 0.010229 0.015846 0.026767 0.050373 0.120758
2025-07-27 0.004524 0.006510 0.009737 0.015897 0.029013 0.061587 0.187128
2025-08-03 0.004105 0.006055 0.009352 0.016004 0.031407 0.075293 0.301435
2025-08-10 0.003683 0.005530 0.008742 0.015494 0.032161 0.085254 0.444000
2025-08-17 0.003286 0.004995 0.008028 0.014590 0.031568 0.090498 0.594788
2025-08-24 0.002975 0.004574 0.007462 0.013883 0.031256 0.096908 0.828680
2025-08-31 0.002821 0.004409 0.007358 0.014190 0.034014 0.120227 1.748578
2025-09-07 0.002615 0.004129 0.006991 0.013795 0.034463 0.133560 3.106866
2025-09-14 0.002417 0.003847 0.006584 0.013222 0.034123 0.142621 5.337245
2025-09-21 0.002284 0.003688 0.006439 0.013369 0.036742 0.179436 28.762320
2025-09-28 0.002190 0.003594 0.006424 0.013873 0.041199 0.248494 NaN
2025-10-05 0.002139 0.003576 0.006565 0.014860 0.048622 0.395979 NaN
2025-10-12 0.002056 0.003486 0.006535 0.015343 0.054369 0.588771 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001955 0.003350 0.006376 0.015392 0.058070 0.811404 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001868 0.003231 0.006243 0.015494 0.062358 1.174222 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001757 0.003057 0.005955 0.015006 0.062646 1.425147 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001638 0.002855 0.005579 0.014140 0.059877 1.472604 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001537 0.002687 0.005271 0.013463 0.058087 1.589807 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001491 0.002631 0.005239 0.013758 0.063658 2.733617 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001418 0.002512 0.005033 0.013379 0.063859 3.458694 NaN